Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 78.9%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 92.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 81.7%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Last 5: Rodrigues 0-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
55.9% (835)
-8.1%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
61.8% (228)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
50.0% (40)
-13.2%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Home
47.9% (445)
55.1% (508)
Away
45.4% (346)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
P1
48.3%
55.8%
P2
47.0%
55.7%
P3
44.8%
59.0%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:25 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |