Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Kempe 40.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 85.4%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 71.5%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 68.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Rodrigues
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rodrigues
Kempe
Last 5: Rodrigues 4-1 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
0
1
Rodrigues
Kempe
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Kempe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
0
Rodrigues
Kempe
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
38.7% (380)
+7.5%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
33.3% (3)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
31.3% (16)
+11.4%
On power play, Rodrigues has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kempe is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kempe
Home
47.1% (1,836)
40.1% (177)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
36.9% (222)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kempe
P1
46.9%
34.7%
P2
46.1%
40.4%
P3
44.4%
38.8%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 03:26 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 01:50 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Mario Kempe |