Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Jankowski 53.1% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 50.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 56.7%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 56.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Last 10: Rodrigues 3-7 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
4
Rodrigues
Jankowski
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Rodrigues
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
53.7% (555)
-5.9%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
50.0% (14)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
54.3% (46)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Jankowski
Home
47.9% (445)
53.2% (331)
Away
45.4% (346)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Rodrigues
Jankowski
P1
48.3%
52.7%
P2
47.0%
55.8%
P3
44.8%
52.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |