Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs McTavish 49.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 54.4%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 72.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 59.9%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Rodrigues
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rodrigues
McTavish
Last 7: Rodrigues 2-5 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
4
Rodrigues
McTavish
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
47.6% (617)
+0.2%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
57.8% (102)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
33.3% (6)
+3.5%
On power play, McTavish has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
McTavish
Home
47.9% (445)
52.2% (389)
Away
45.4% (346)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Rodrigues
McTavish
P1
48.3%
50.2%
P2
47.0%
47.9%
P3
44.8%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2025 | OT | 01:07 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |