Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs McTavish 43.3% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 53.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 61.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 58.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Rodrigues
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rodrigues
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Rodrigues
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
42.4% (675)
+12.0%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
40.5% (42)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
50.0% (8)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
McTavish
Home
47.9% (119)
41.9% (372)
Away
50.8% (122)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Rodrigues
McTavish
P1
53.8%
47.2%
P2
51.9%
36.2%
P3
43.2%
43.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
49.4%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |