Evan Rodrigues vs Mavrik Bourque
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 45.6%). Rodrigues wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Bourque 46.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 68.0%
Defensive zone
Bourque 60.7%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 51.9%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Rodrigues
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rodrigues
Bourque
Last 6: Rodrigues 2-4 Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bourque
0
2
Rodrigues
Bourque
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Bourque
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
46.6% (513)
-0.4%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
26.1% (23)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
42.9% (28)
-0.2%
On power play, Rodrigues has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Rodrigues shoots right. Bourque is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Bourque
Home
47.1% (1,836)
47.1% (263)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
44.2% (301)
By Period
Rodrigues
Bourque
P1
46.9%
42.7%
P2
46.1%
42.8%
P3
44.4%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |