Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 45.7% vs Domi 48.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 76.6%
Defensive zone
Domi 55.8%
Neutral zone
Domi 63.7%
Result
Max Domi favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Rodrigues
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Rodrigues
Domi
Last 10: Rodrigues 8-2 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues
Domi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
6
4
Rodrigues
Domi
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
1
Rodrigues
Domi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (2,771)
48.2% (4,232)
-2.3%
Power Play
44.8% (281)
52.7% (622)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (209)
48.8% (41)
-6.7%
On power play, Domi has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,312).
Rodrigues shoots right. Domi is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,608).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Domi
Home
46.7% (1,745)
49.7% (2,572)
Away
44.3% (1,516)
47.7% (2,323)
By Period
Rodrigues
Domi
P1
46.7%
48.8%
P2
45.9%
48.0%
P3
44.0%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
42.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.6%
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 10:17 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Max Domi |