Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Misa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Misa 45.1% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Misa 54.4%
Defensive zone
Misa 51.9%
Neutral zone
Misa 51.7%
Result
Michael Misa favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Rodrigues
Misa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rodrigues
Misa
Last 5: Rodrigues 2-3 Misa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Misa
0
2
Rodrigues
Misa
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Misa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Misa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Misa
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
43.7% (247)
+4.1%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
36.4% (11)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
0.0% (1)
+36.8%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Misa shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Misa is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Misa
Home
47.9% (445)
52.3% (107)
Away
45.4% (346)
36.8% (152)
By Period
Rodrigues
Misa
P1
48.3%
41.0%
P2
47.0%
41.3%
P3
44.8%
48.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Misa
48.0%▲
42.5%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Michael Misa |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Michael Misa |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Michael Misa |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |