Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Misa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Misa 44.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Misa 52.4%
Defensive zone
Misa 52.8%
Neutral zone
Misa 52.4%
Result
Michael Misa favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Rodrigues
Misa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rodrigues
Misa
Last 5: Rodrigues 2-3 Misa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Misa
0
2
Rodrigues
Misa
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Misa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Misa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Misa
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
42.8% (257)
+3.4%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
36.4% (11)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
0.0% (1)
+42.7%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Misa shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Rodrigues shoots right. Misa is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Misa
Home
47.1% (1,836)
49.6% (117)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
36.8% (152)
By Period
Rodrigues
Misa
P1
46.9%
41.5%
P2
46.1%
39.8%
P3
44.4%
47.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Misa
44.0%▲
40.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Michael Misa |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Michael Misa |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Michael Misa |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |