Evan Rodrigues vs Mikael Backlund

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mikael Backlund holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Rodrigues 47.1% vs Backlund 49.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Rodrigues 82.4%
Defensive zone Backlund 59.9%
Neutral zone Rodrigues 62.8%
Result Evan Rodrigues favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Rodrigues Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 5 (7 meetings)
2
5
Rodrigues Backlund
Last 7: Rodrigues 2-5 Backlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Rodrigues Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Rodrigues Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues Backlund
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Rodrigues
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
50.5% (944)
-2.7%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
51.5% (66)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
47.1% (297)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Backlund
Home
47.9% (445)
48.1% (636)
Away
45.4% (346)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Rodrigues
Backlund
P1
48.3%
45.4%
P2
47.0%
54.1%
P3
44.8%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%
49.0%
46.8%
Backlund
50.0%
50.0%
49.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 20, 2026 3 13:55 Defensive Evan Rodrigues
Mar 20, 2026 3 12:25 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 20, 2026 3 07:32 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 20, 2026 2 18:06 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 20, 2026 2 17:22 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 28, 2025 3 18:57 Neutral Evan Rodrigues
Nov 28, 2025 1 03:06 Offensive Mikael Backlund