Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Kadri 48.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 19-9 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 55.5%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 64.5%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 56.9%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Rodrigues
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
19
(28 meetings)
9
19
Rodrigues
Kadri
Last 10: Rodrigues 2-8 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
9
Rodrigues
Kadri
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
4
Rodrigues
Kadri
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
5
6
Rodrigues
Kadri
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
48.1% (12,555)
-1.9%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
53.0% (1,892)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
41.0% (293)
+1.7%
On power play, Kadri has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,341).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kadri
Home
47.1% (1,836)
49.1% (7,493)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
48.1% (7,250)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kadri
P1
46.9%
49.1%
P2
46.1%
48.7%
P3
44.4%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |