Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Roy 48.4% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 76.4%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 51.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 60.0%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Rodrigues
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Rodrigues
Roy
Last 10: Rodrigues 2-8 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Rodrigues
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
4
Rodrigues
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
3
Rodrigues
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
48.7% (3,719)
-2.5%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
49.5% (283)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
45.5% (477)
-2.8%
On power play, Roy has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Rodrigues shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Roy
Home
47.1% (1,836)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Rodrigues
Roy
P1
46.9%
50.8%
P2
46.1%
46.3%
P3
44.4%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 10:26 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 07:30 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |