Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Krebs 45.4% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 56.9%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 50.5%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 58.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Rodrigues
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rodrigues
Krebs
Last 5: Rodrigues 3-2 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
44.4% (403)
+3.4%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
33.3% (6)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
45.0% (20)
-8.2%
On power play, Rodrigues has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Krebs is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Krebs
Home
47.9% (445)
46.3% (205)
Away
45.4% (346)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Rodrigues
Krebs
P1
48.3%
47.0%
P2
47.0%
45.4%
P3
44.8%
40.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |