Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Couturier 53.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 75.4%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 57.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 72.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Rodrigues
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rodrigues
Couturier
Last 7: Rodrigues 2-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Rodrigues
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Rodrigues
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
53.9% (792)
-6.1%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
62.9% (70)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
51.3% (234)
-14.5%
On power play, Couturier has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Couturier
Home
47.9% (445)
51.4% (541)
Away
45.4% (346)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Rodrigues
Couturier
P1
48.3%
56.0%
P2
47.0%
52.6%
P3
44.8%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:07 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |