Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 73.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 72.6%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 51.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
52.6% (464)
-4.8%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
100.0% (1)
-52.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
46.5% (155)
-9.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Home
47.9% (445)
55.9% (322)
Away
45.4% (346)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kuraly
P1
48.3%
55.9%
P2
47.0%
46.7%
P3
44.8%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |