Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Crosby 55.1% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 68.7%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 65.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 52.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Rodrigues
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rodrigues
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Rodrigues
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
53.3% (1,025)
-5.5%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
64.7% (249)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
60.0% (15)
-23.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Crosby is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Crosby
Home
47.9% (445)
56.9% (675)
Away
45.4% (346)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Rodrigues
Crosby
P1
48.3%
55.1%
P2
47.0%
53.1%
P3
44.8%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |