Evan Rodrigues vs Tage Thompson

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Evan Rodrigues holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Rodrigues wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Rodrigues 46.0% vs Thompson 42.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor Rodrigues leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Rodrigues 70.5%
Defensive zone Rodrigues 70.8%
Neutral zone Rodrigues 68.4%
Result Evan Rodrigues favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Rodrigues Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 3 (11 meetings)
8
3
Rodrigues Thompson
Last 8: Rodrigues 6-2 Thompson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
5
1
Rodrigues Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues Thompson
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Rodrigues
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
42.9% (3,540)
+3.3%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
46.9% (373)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
33.6% (265)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +9.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Rodrigues shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,149).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Thompson
Home
47.1% (1,836)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Rodrigues
Thompson
P1
46.9%
44.4%
P2
46.1%
43.7%
P3
44.4%
40.0%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
40.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%
49.0%
45.8%
Thompson
36.0%
40.0%
42.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 2, 2026 3 00:35 Defensive Evan Rodrigues
Feb 2, 2026 1 15:03 Neutral Tage Thompson
Feb 2, 2026 1 02:49 Offensive Evan Rodrigues
Feb 2, 2026 1 00:37 Neutral Evan Rodrigues
Jan 12, 2026 1 09:32 Offensive Evan Rodrigues
Jan 12, 2026 1 01:39 Defensive Tage Thompson
Feb 15, 2024 1 07:56 Offensive Evan Rodrigues
Nov 16, 2021 3 10:20 Offensive Evan Rodrigues