Evan Rodrigues vs Tage Thompson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Rodrigues wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Thompson 42.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 70.5%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 70.8%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 68.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Rodrigues
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Rodrigues
Thompson
Last 8: Rodrigues 6-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
5
1
Rodrigues
Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
42.9% (3,540)
+3.3%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
46.9% (373)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
33.6% (265)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Rodrigues shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,149).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Thompson
Home
47.1% (1,836)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Rodrigues
Thompson
P1
46.9%
44.4%
P2
46.1%
43.7%
P3
44.4%
40.0%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |