Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall. Kane wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 45.2% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-19.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kane 68.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.0%
Neutral zone
Kane 56.5%
Result
Evander Kane favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Kane
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kane
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kane
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
31.4% (35)
55.7% (856)
-24.3%
Power Play
45.0% (20)
57.5% (233)
-12.5%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kane is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Kane shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Kane
O'Reilly
Home
33.3% (21)
55.5% (616)
Away
38.2% (34)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Kane
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
58.1%
P2
22.7%
54.9%
P3
38.5%
53.9%
Final 5 min
58.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
36.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |