Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Compher 47.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 20-16 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 82.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 76.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Malkin
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
20
(36 meetings)
16
20
Malkin
Compher
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
7
5
Malkin
Compher
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
10
Malkin
Compher
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
6
5
Malkin
Compher
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
48.6% (5,743)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
52.6% (682)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
41.9% (1,426)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,651).
Home / Away
Malkin
Compher
Home
47.6% (5,395)
49.0% (3,917)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
46.6% (3,934)
By Period
Malkin
Compher
P1
45.9%
49.0%
P2
46.2%
47.2%
P3
45.2%
47.4%
OT
49.0%
40.2%
Final 5 min
46.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:34 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |