Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Toews 60.4% (-17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 52.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 68.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 64.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Malkin
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Malkin
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Malkin
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
62.6% (728)
-16.9%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
59.4% (143)
-24.8%
On power play, Toews has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Malkin
Toews
Home
50.4% (113)
61.1% (455)
Away
39.4% (132)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Malkin
Toews
P1
47.7%
59.7%
P2
44.9%
66.7%
P3
40.0%
58.4%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:03 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |