Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Norris 53.4% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 71.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 77.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 53.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Malkin
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Malkin
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
53.6% (560)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
56.0% (109)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
53.1% (98)
+46.9%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Malkin
Norris
Home
47.5% (326)
53.6% (373)
Away
44.0% (307)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Malkin
Norris
P1
49.3%
61.8%
P2
44.7%
51.7%
P3
42.3%
49.8%
OT
66.7%
27.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |