Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.5% vs 44.0%). Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Carlsson 44.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 67.8%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 59.4%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 50.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Malkin
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
45.0% (695)
+0.7%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
46.4% (84)
-11.8%
On power play, Carlsson has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Malkin
Carlsson
Home
50.4% (113)
42.5% (435)
Away
39.4% (132)
45.5% (429)
By Period
Malkin
Carlsson
P1
47.7%
45.3%
P2
44.9%
38.7%
P3
40.0%
48.5%
OT
100.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
35.3%
38.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |