Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Rossi 47.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 52.3%
Defensive zone
Rossi 65.5%
Neutral zone
Rossi 58.6%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Malkin
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Malkin
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Rossi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
46.5% (879)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
48.6% (105)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (8)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Malkin
Rossi
Home
47.5% (326)
47.5% (520)
Away
44.0% (307)
46.0% (472)
By Period
Malkin
Rossi
P1
49.3%
47.8%
P2
44.7%
44.2%
P3
42.3%
48.7%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |