Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Scheifele 47.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 61.2%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 55.6%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 57.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Malkin
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Malkin
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
46.5% (919)
-0.8%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
48.7% (187)
-14.1%
On power play, Scheifele has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Malkin
Scheifele
Home
50.4% (113)
46.6% (605)
Away
39.4% (132)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Malkin
Scheifele
P1
47.7%
52.3%
P2
44.9%
45.3%
P3
40.0%
43.9%
OT
100.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
35.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |