Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs McTavish 51.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 77.3%
Defensive zone
Malkin 52.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 53.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Malkin
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Malkin
McTavish
Last 9: Malkin 3-6 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
5
Malkin
McTavish
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
51.3% (725)
-3.4%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
55.8% (113)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
28.6% (7)
+71.4%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Malkin
McTavish
Home
49.6% (405)
52.0% (454)
Away
47.5% (396)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Malkin
McTavish
P1
49.6%
51.3%
P2
47.2%
50.4%
P3
48.5%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.6%
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 13:47 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:18 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:14 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |