Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Backlund 49.8% (-5.3%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 85.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 86.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Malkin
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
50.5% (944)
-4.8%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
51.5% (66)
-16.9%
On power play, Backlund has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Malkin
Backlund
Home
50.4% (113)
48.1% (636)
Away
39.4% (132)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Malkin
Backlund
P1
47.7%
45.4%
P2
44.9%
54.1%
P3
40.0%
49.2%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
35.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%