Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Granlund 49.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 71.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 60.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Malkin
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Malkin
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
Malkin
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
49.7% (493)
-4.0%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
58.6% (111)
-24.0%
On power play, Granlund has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
Malkin
Granlund
Home
50.4% (113)
54.7% (276)
Away
39.4% (132)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Malkin
Granlund
P1
47.7%
52.2%
P2
44.9%
49.3%
P3
40.0%
47.4%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
35.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |