Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Frost 46.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 69.1%
Defensive zone
Frost 60.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 57.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Malkin
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Malkin
Frost
Last 8: Malkin 4-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Malkin
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
3
Malkin
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
45.6% (833)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
46.0% (100)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
55.6% (18)
-5.6%
On power play, Malkin has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Malkin
Frost
Home
52.3% (438)
47.0% (440)
Away
46.2% (418)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Malkin
Frost
P1
51.3%
42.5%
P2
50.8%
47.9%
P3
45.0%
46.6%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
49.3%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |