Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Dowd 48.6% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 87.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 89.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Malkin
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
51.0% (671)
-5.3%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
0.0% (2)
+34.6%
On power play, Malkin has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Malkin
Dowd
Home
50.4% (113)
48.2% (471)
Away
39.4% (132)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Malkin
Dowd
P1
47.7%
48.3%
P2
44.9%
46.8%
P3
40.0%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%