Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 68.6%
Defensive zone
Malkin 60.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 64.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Malkin
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Malkin
Schmaltz
Last 10: Malkin 7-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
Schmaltz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Malkin
Schmaltz
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
41.3% (3,431)
+4.3%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
47.3% (655)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
47.4% (135)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Home / Away
Malkin
Schmaltz
Home
47.6% (5,395)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Malkin
Schmaltz
P1
45.9%
41.3%
P2
46.2%
42.8%
P3
45.2%
43.1%
OT
49.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
46.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 09:16 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |