Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Suzuki 49.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 69.4%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 58.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Malkin
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
14
(26 meetings)
12
14
Malkin
Suzuki
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
2
Malkin
Suzuki
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Malkin
Suzuki
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
7
Malkin
Suzuki
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,073)
49.2% (6,124)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.9% (643)
50.7% (1,285)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
43.4% (454)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,544).
Malkin shoots left. Suzuki is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,694).
Home / Away
Malkin
Suzuki
Home
47.6% (5,385)
50.9% (3,880)
Away
44.0% (5,413)
47.5% (3,983)
By Period
Malkin
Suzuki
P1
45.9%
48.5%
P2
46.2%
49.0%
P3
45.2%
50.3%
OT
49.0%
43.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |