Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 71.5%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 51.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 56.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Malkin
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
14
(26 meetings)
12
14
Malkin
Suzuki
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
2
Malkin
Suzuki
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Malkin
Suzuki
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
7
Malkin
Suzuki
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
49.4% (6,368)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
50.8% (1,355)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
44.0% (466)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Malkin
Suzuki
Home
47.6% (5,395)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Malkin
Suzuki
P1
45.9%
48.9%
P2
46.2%
49.1%
P3
45.2%
50.3%
OT
49.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |