Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Colton 51.0% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Colton leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.3%
Defensive zone
Colton 65.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Malkin
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Malkin
Colton
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
Colton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Malkin
Colton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
4
Malkin
Colton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,073)
51.6% (1,788)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.9% (643)
48.4% (159)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
34.5% (29)
-2.3%
On even strength, Colton has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,254).
Malkin shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,283).
Home / Away
Malkin
Colton
Home
47.6% (5,385)
51.9% (1,004)
Away
44.0% (5,413)
50.2% (972)
By Period
Malkin
Colton
P1
45.9%
53.3%
P2
46.2%
52.6%
P3
45.2%
47.9%
OT
49.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:36 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Ross Colton |