Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.5% vs 45.2%). Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Hartman 45.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 65.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 66.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 54.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Malkin
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
45.1% (874)
+0.6%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
47.4% (95)
-12.8%
On power play, Hartman has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hartman
Home
50.4% (113)
45.0% (515)
Away
39.4% (132)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Malkin
Hartman
P1
47.7%
47.3%
P2
44.9%
40.1%
P3
40.0%
48.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |