Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 25 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Strome 44.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 41-27 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 73.9%
Defensive zone
Strome 61.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Malkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
27
(68 meetings)
41
27
Malkin
Strome
Last 10: Malkin 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
18
7
Malkin
Strome
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
10
15
Malkin
Strome
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
13
5
Malkin
Strome
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
44.2% (6,887)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
49.2% (855)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
41.5% (410)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Malkin
Strome
Home
47.6% (5,395)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Malkin
Strome
P1
45.9%
43.9%
P2
46.2%
45.4%
P3
45.2%
44.4%
OT
49.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |