Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 34-28 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 80.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 91.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 69.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Malkin
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
28
(62 meetings)
34
28
Malkin
Kuraly
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
19
6
Malkin
Kuraly
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
13
Malkin
Kuraly
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
12
9
Malkin
Kuraly
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
51.6% (5,161)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
56.4% (101)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
44.4% (1,091)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kuraly
Home
47.6% (5,395)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Malkin
Kuraly
P1
45.9%
51.2%
P2
46.2%
50.0%
P3
45.2%
50.2%
OT
49.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 03:58 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |