Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Hertl 57.5% (-13.6%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 54.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 57.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 53.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Malkin
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
58.7% (858)
-13.0%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
55.8% (285)
-21.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hertl
Home
50.4% (113)
60.1% (599)
Away
39.4% (132)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Malkin
Hertl
P1
47.7%
52.4%
P2
44.9%
63.9%
P3
40.0%
58.5%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%