Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Zegras 37.0% (+11.6%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 55.3%
Defensive zone
Malkin 51.6%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.2%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Malkin
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
33.0% (264)
+12.7%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
32.1% (56)
+2.5%
On even strength, Malkin has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zegras
Home
50.4% (113)
35.3% (173)
Away
39.4% (132)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Malkin
Zegras
P1
47.7%
33.0%
P2
44.9%
35.7%
P3
40.0%
29.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.3%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%