Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 22 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Bozak 53.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 29-21 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 79.8%
Defensive zone
Malkin 72.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 75.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Malkin
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
29
(50 meetings)
21
29
Malkin
Bozak
Last 10: Malkin 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
11
3
Malkin
Bozak
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
20
Malkin
Bozak
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
8
6
Malkin
Bozak
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,073)
53.7% (9,596)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.9% (643)
55.2% (1,990)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
48.0% (1,094)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,544).
Malkin shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bozak
Home
47.6% (5,385)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
44.0% (5,413)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Malkin
Bozak
P1
45.9%
53.2%
P2
46.2%
52.8%
P3
45.2%
54.5%
OT
49.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |