Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Hughes 38.0% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 52.8%
Defensive zone
Hughes 55.0%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 53.5%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Last 6: Kuznetsov 3-3 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Kuznetsov
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
0
Kuznetsov
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
2
Kuznetsov
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
34.5% (342)
+8.8%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
42.9% (7)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
25.0% (4)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Home
43.9% (602)
32.6% (187)
Away
43.1% (564)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Hughes
P1
43.2%
33.9%
P2
41.5%
34.2%
P3
45.2%
36.5%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:55 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 2, 2022 | OT | 00:49 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |