Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 56.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 62.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
44.7% (1,053)
+3.0%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
36.8% (95)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
65.0% (20)
-25.6%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Kuznetsov shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Home
45.9% (534)
49.4% (553)
Away
49.2% (535)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
P1
44.8%
45.3%
P2
52.1%
42.7%
P3
44.5%
45.1%
OT
75.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
45.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |