Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Gagner 52.4% (-17.5%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 52.5%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 68.7%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 54.8%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Kuznetsov
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
76.5% (17)
-32.1%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
28.6% (7)
+30.2%
On even strength, Gagner has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Kuznetsov is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Home
48.6% (370)
75.0% (16)
Away
41.4% (377)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Gagner
P1
44.3%
25.0%
P2
49.6%
64.3%
P3
41.4%
83.3%
Final 5 min
41.1%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%