Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Svechkov wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 40.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 82.4%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 76.2%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 83.8%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Svechkov
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Svechkov
Tavares
Last 6: Svechkov 1-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Svechkov
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Svechkov
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Svechkov
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (790)
54.0% (16,169)
-14.3%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
56.4% (4,298)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
50.5% (624)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Svechkov is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Svechkov shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Tavares
Home
38.6% (428)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
41.0% (388)
52.7% (10,595)
By Period
Svechkov
Tavares
P1
35.7%
55.0%
P2
44.5%
54.1%
P3
39.1%
54.0%
OT
100.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
39.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
39.7%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |