Scouting Report
Kyle MacLean holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 40.8% vs MacLean 47.9% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 75.5%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 70.2%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 70.1%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Svechkov
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Svechkov
MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Svechkov
MacLean
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
2
Svechkov
MacLean
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
1
2
Svechkov
MacLean
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (790)
47.2% (852)
-7.5%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
62.5% (8)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
56.7% (30)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Svechkov is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Svechkov shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Home / Away
Svechkov
MacLean
Home
38.6% (428)
46.9% (429)
Away
41.0% (388)
48.4% (461)
By Period
Svechkov
MacLean
P1
35.7%
46.4%
P2
44.5%
49.7%
P3
39.1%
46.5%
Final 5 min
39.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
39.7%
MacLean
54.0%▼
56.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |