Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 40.8% vs Carlsson 41.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Svechkov leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Svechkov 51.7%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 57.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 54.9%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Svechkov
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Svechkov
Carlsson
Last 10: Svechkov 7-3 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
3
0
Svechkov
Carlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
1
Svechkov
Carlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
3
Svechkov
Carlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (790)
40.9% (1,878)
-1.2%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
42.9% (156)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
34.7% (121)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Svechkov is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Svechkov shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,512).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Carlsson
Home
38.6% (428)
42.2% (1,051)
Away
41.0% (388)
39.2% (1,104)
By Period
Svechkov
Carlsson
P1
35.7%
43.3%
P2
44.5%
36.2%
P3
39.1%
43.3%
OT
100.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
39.2%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
39.7%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:29 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 18:29 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |