Fedor Svechkov vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Svechkov wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 40.8% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 72.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 82.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 74.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Svechkov
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Svechkov
MacKinnon
Last 6: Svechkov 4-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
0
Svechkov
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
0
Svechkov
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Svechkov
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (790)
46.1% (11,264)
-6.4%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
53.2% (1,421)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
42.8% (502)
-9.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Svechkov is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Svechkov shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
Home / Away
Svechkov
MacKinnon
Home
38.6% (428)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
41.0% (388)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Svechkov
MacKinnon
P1
35.7%
47.4%
P2
44.5%
46.6%
P3
39.1%
46.1%
OT
100.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
39.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
39.7%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |