Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Svechkov wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 43.2% vs Foligno 49.9% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 66.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 52.3%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 56.4%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Svechkov
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Svechkov
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Svechkov
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
1
0
Svechkov
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Svechkov
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (472)
49.5% (291)
-7.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.8% (43)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
47.2% (53)
+2.8%
On power play, Foligno has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Svechkov is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Svechkov shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Foligno
Home
39.7% (247)
48.9% (178)
Away
44.0% (234)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Svechkov
Foligno
P1
36.1%
43.0%
P2
44.5%
55.9%
P3
44.1%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
41.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |