Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Svechkov wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 43.2% vs Roy 51.9% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 50.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 86.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 68.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Svechkov
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Svechkov
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
0
Svechkov
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Svechkov
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (472)
51.9% (547)
-10.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
54.1% (37)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
53.3% (92)
-3.3%
On power play, Roy has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Svechkov is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (169).
Svechkov shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Roy
Home
39.7% (247)
54.0% (328)
Away
44.0% (234)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Svechkov
Roy
P1
36.1%
53.5%
P2
44.5%
51.6%
P3
44.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
42.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
41.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |