Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Svechkov wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 40.8% vs Strome 44.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 57.9%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 51.5%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 57.5%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Svechkov
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Svechkov
Strome
Last 5: Svechkov 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
3
Svechkov
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (790)
44.2% (6,887)
-4.5%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
49.2% (855)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
41.5% (410)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Svechkov is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Svechkov shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Strome
Home
38.6% (428)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
41.0% (388)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Svechkov
Strome
P1
35.7%
43.9%
P2
44.5%
45.4%
P3
39.1%
44.4%
OT
100.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
39.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
39.7%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |