Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 40.8% vs Wright 43.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 51.5%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 50.2%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 53.7%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Svechkov
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Svechkov
Wright
Last 9: Svechkov 4-5 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Svechkov
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
1
Svechkov
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
2
3
Svechkov
Wright
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (790)
42.7% (1,326)
-3.0%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
45.1% (133)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
33.3% (6)
+0.0%
On power play, Wright has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Svechkov is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Svechkov shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Wright
Home
38.6% (428)
44.2% (746)
Away
41.0% (388)
41.4% (719)
By Period
Svechkov
Wright
P1
35.7%
44.5%
P2
44.5%
40.5%
P3
39.1%
44.0%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
39.7%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Shane Wright |