Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Chytil wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.3% vs Stenlund 53.9% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Chytil 79.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 75.6%
Neutral zone
Chytil 55.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Chytil
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Chytil
Stenlund
Last 10: Chytil 4-6 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
Chytil
Stenlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
4
Chytil
Stenlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
2
1
Chytil
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (2,535)
55.3% (2,738)
-13.2%
Power Play
42.2% (206)
52.6% (116)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
50.4% (924)
-12.9%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Chytil is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (915).
Chytil shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Chytil
Stenlund
Home
42.8% (1,337)
54.3% (1,873)
Away
41.4% (1,428)
53.8% (1,905)
By Period
Chytil
Stenlund
P1
40.8%
56.2%
P2
43.8%
53.3%
P3
41.4%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
43.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |